Cetatea Suceavavs
Dumbrăviţa
COMPLETEDRomania · Liga II · 10/10/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cetatea Suceava · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 3-0 (11%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cetatea Suceava 3-1 Dumbrăviţa
Original prediction
Cetatea Suceava
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.38 | 65.8% | 72.1% | 6.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.42 | 20.5% | 17.0% | -3.5 pts |
| Away | 6.59 | 13.8% | 11.0% | -2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.38 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.3–011%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Cetatea Suceava
Probability
72.1%
Model confidence
72.1%
Cetatea Suceava has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60