GGOALVIO

Australia · NNSW League 1 · 5/5/2024, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Wallsend Red Devils · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-4

Highconfidence

Cessnock City Hornets are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Wallsend Red Devils are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Wallsend Red Devils hold a 34.3-point power-rating edge (39.1 v 73.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 74.7% in the NNSW League 1, while Wallsend Red Devils holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 90% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Wallsend Red Devils

Probability

74.7%

Model confidence

74.7%

Wallsend Red Devils has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cessnock City HornetsLLWWL

GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Wallsend Red DevilsLLLLL

GF 3 · GA 19 · avg 0.60/3.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Cessnock City HornetsWallsend Red Devils
53.7Attack100.0
25.9Defence51.9
33.3Form74.1
39.1Power73.5
1.57xG4.23
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