GGOALVIO

Australia · NNSW League 1 · 3/16/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Wallsend Red Devils · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-4

Highconfidence

Cessnock City Hornets are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 1.33 scored and 5.33 conceded, while Wallsend Red Devils are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Wallsend Red Devils hold a 34.3-point power-rating edge (39.1 v 73.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 74.7% in the NNSW League 1, while Wallsend Red Devils holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 90% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Wallsend Red Devils

Probability

74.7%

Model confidence

74.7%

Wallsend Red Devils has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cessnock City HornetsLLL

GF 4 · GA 16 · avg 1.33/5.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 3/3
Wallsend Red DevilsLLW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 1/3O2.5 3/3
Cessnock City HornetsWallsend Red Devils
53.7Attack100.0
25.9Defence51.9
33.3Form74.1
39.1Power73.5
1.57xG4.23
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