GGOALVIO

Australia · NNSW League 1 · 5/29/2024, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cessnock City Hornets · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Cessnock City Hornets are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Toronto Awaba Stags are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Cessnock City Hornets hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (39.1 v 32.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.8% in the NNSW League 1, while Cessnock City Hornets holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cessnock City Hornets

Probability

56.8%

Model confidence

56.8%

Cessnock City Hornets has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cessnock City HornetsDLWLL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Toronto Awaba StagsDDDDL

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Cessnock City HornetsToronto Awaba Stags
53.7Attack42.6
25.9Defence20.4
33.3Form25.9
39.1Power32.3
2.92xG1.77
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