GGOALVIO

Australia · NNSW League 1 · 8/5/2025, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cessnock City Hornets · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Cessnock City Hornets are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Thornton Redbacks are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 39.1 against 39.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.1% in the NNSW League 1, while Cessnock City Hornets holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 83% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cessnock City Hornets

Probability

45.1%

Model confidence

45.1%

Cessnock City Hornets has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cessnock City HornetsWLDLW

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Thornton RedbacksDDLWW

GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Cessnock City HornetsThornton Redbacks
53.7Attack52.2
25.9Defence26.1
33.3Form36.2
39.1Power39.1
2.65xG2.21
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