GGOALVIO

Australia · NNSW League 1 · 7/27/2024, 6:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cessnock City Hornets · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Cessnock City Hornets are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while South Cardiff are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Cessnock City Hornets hold a 5.9-point power-rating edge (39.1 v 33.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.9% in the NNSW League 1, while Cessnock City Hornets holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cessnock City Hornets

Probability

55.9%

Model confidence

55.9%

Cessnock City Hornets has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cessnock City HornetsWWLLL

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
South CardiffLLWWL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Cessnock City HornetsSouth Cardiff
53.7Attack27.8
25.9Defence38.9
33.3Form24.1
39.1Power33.2
2.24xG1.25
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