GGOALVIO

Australia · NNSW League 1 · 3/30/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cessnock City Hornets · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Cessnock City Hornets are 1W-0D-3L in their last 4 (WLLL), averaging 1.50 scored and 4.00 conceded, while South Cardiff are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Cessnock City Hornets hold a 5.9-point power-rating edge (39.1 v 33.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.9% in the NNSW League 1, while Cessnock City Hornets holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cessnock City Hornets

Probability

55.9%

Model confidence

55.9%

Cessnock City Hornets has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cessnock City HornetsWLLL

GF 6 · GA 16 · avg 1.50/4.00

BTTS 2/4O2.5 3/4
South CardiffWLLWL

GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Cessnock City HornetsSouth Cardiff
53.7Attack27.8
25.9Defence38.9
33.3Form24.1
39.1Power33.2
2.24xG1.25
View match centre →