GGOALVIO

Australia · NNSW League 1 · 5/23/2026, 4:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

New Lambton · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Lowconfidence

Cessnock City Hornets are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while New Lambton are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and New Lambton hold a 19.2-point power-rating edge (39.1 v 58.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.3% in the NNSW League 1, while New Lambton holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 82% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

New Lambton

Probability

62.5%

Model confidence

7.3%

New Lambton has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cessnock City HornetsLDLLD

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
New LambtonWLWDW

GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
Cessnock City HornetsNew Lambton
53.7Attack75.9
25.9Defence44.4
33.3Form59.3
39.1Power58.3
1.89xG3.40
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