GGOALVIO

Australia · NNSW League 1 · 3/28/2026, 6:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lake Macquarie · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-4

Lowconfidence

Cessnock City Hornets are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Lake Macquarie are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Lake Macquarie hold a 34.5-point power-rating edge (39.1 v 73.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.9% in the NNSW League 1, while Lake Macquarie holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 90% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lake Macquarie

Probability

78.3%

Model confidence

8.9%

Lake Macquarie has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cessnock City HornetsWWLWW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Lake MacquarieLWDLL

GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Cessnock City HornetsLake Macquarie
53.7Attack100.0
25.9Defence55.6
33.3Form75.9
39.1Power73.6
1.44xG4.24
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