Cessnock City Hornetsvs
Lake Macquarie
COMPLETEDAustralia · NNSW League 1 · 3/23/2025, 5:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lake Macquarie · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-4
Cessnock City Hornets are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Lake Macquarie are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Lake Macquarie hold a 34.5-point power-rating edge (39.1 v 73.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 76.9% in the NNSW League 1, while Lake Macquarie holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 90% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lake Macquarie
Probability
76.9%
Model confidence
76.9%
Lake Macquarie has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 3 · GA 19 · avg 0.60/3.80