GGOALVIO

Australia · NNSW League 1 · 4/20/2024, 6:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Belmont Swansea · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-4

Highconfidence

Cessnock City Hornets are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Belmont Swansea are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 5.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Belmont Swansea hold a 38.7-point power-rating edge (39.1 v 77.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 84.3% in the NNSW League 1, while Belmont Swansea holds the strongest overall chance at 84% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Belmont Swansea

Probability

84.3%

Model confidence

84.3%

Belmont Swansea has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cessnock City HornetsLLWLL

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Belmont SwanseaWWWWW

GF 25 · GA 2 · avg 5.00/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Cessnock City HornetsBelmont Swansea
53.7Attack100.0
25.9Defence68.1
33.3Form77.8
39.1Power77.9
1.03xG4.28
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