GGOALVIO

Italy · Coppa Italia · 8/6/2023, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Virtus Entella · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Cesena are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 4.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Virtus Entella are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 2 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Virtus Entella hold a 14.0-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.8% in the Coppa Italia, while Virtus Entella holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Virtus Entella

Probability

36.8%

Model confidence

36.8%

Virtus Entella has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CesenaW

GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 4.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Virtus EntellaL

GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/3.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
CesenaVirtus Entella
33.3Attack66.7
33.3Defence33.3
16.7Form33.3
31.3Power45.3
1.47xG1.55
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