GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 2/18/2023, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cesar Vallejo · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Cesar Vallejo are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Union Comercio are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Cesar Vallejo hold a 14.0-point power-rating edge (51.9 v 37.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.0% in the Primera División, while Cesar Vallejo holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cesar Vallejo

Probability

63.0%

Model confidence

63.0%

Cesar Vallejo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cesar VallejoWDDWL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Union ComercioWL

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Cesar VallejoUnion Comercio
46.3Attack38.9
61.1Defence33.3
47.2Form33.3
51.9Power37.9
2.06xG0.80
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