GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 3/8/2024, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cesar Vallejo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Cesar Vallejo are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Sport Huancayo are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Cesar Vallejo hold a 21.9-point power-rating edge (37.3 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.3% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Cesar Vallejo holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cesar Vallejo

Probability

39.3%

Model confidence

39.3%

Cesar Vallejo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cesar VallejoDLDLW

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Sport HuancayoLWDWW

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Cesar VallejoSport Huancayo
52.4Attack0.0
19.0Defence33.3
33.3Form0.0
37.3Power15.3
1.60xG1.39
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