GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 6/9/2023, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cesar Vallejo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Cesar Vallejo are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Magallanes are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Cesar Vallejo hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (37.3 v 34.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.9% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Cesar Vallejo holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cesar Vallejo

Probability

44.9%

Model confidence

44.9%

Cesar Vallejo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cesar VallejoWDLLD

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
MagallanesDLLLD

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Cesar VallejoMagallanes
52.4Attack44.4
19.0Defence27.8
33.3Form22.2
37.3Power34.0
1.99xG1.54
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