Cesar Vallejovs
Magallanes
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 6/9/2023, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cesar Vallejo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Cesar Vallejo are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Magallanes are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Cesar Vallejo hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (37.3 v 34.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.9% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Cesar Vallejo holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cesar Vallejo
Probability
44.9%
Model confidence
44.9%
Cesar Vallejo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60