GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/5/2023, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

LDU de Quito · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Cesar Vallejo are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while LDU de Quito are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and LDU de Quito hold a 28.1-point power-rating edge (37.3 v 65.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.4% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while LDU de Quito holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

LDU de Quito

Probability

65.4%

Model confidence

65.4%

LDU de Quito has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cesar VallejoLLWWW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
LDU de QuitoWDWWD

GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 2.80/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Cesar VallejoLDU de Quito
52.4Attack54.8
19.0Defence81.0
33.3Form61.9
37.3Power65.4
0.72xG2.09
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