GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/8/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cesar Vallejo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Cesar Vallejo are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Independiente Medellin are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 37.3 against 36.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.1% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Cesar Vallejo holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cesar Vallejo

Probability

35.1%

Model confidence

35.1%

Cesar Vallejo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cesar VallejoDWLLW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Independiente MedellinWWDWW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Cesar VallejoIndependiente Medellin
52.4Attack33.3
19.0Defence50.0
33.3Form16.7
37.3Power36.5
1.48xG1.47
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