GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 3/9/2023, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cesar Vallejo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Cesar Vallejo are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Deportivo Binacional are 0W-1D-3L in their last 4 (DLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Cesar Vallejo hold a 21.9-point power-rating edge (37.3 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.3% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Cesar Vallejo holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cesar Vallejo

Probability

39.3%

Model confidence

39.3%

Cesar Vallejo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cesar VallejoWWWDD

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Deportivo BinacionalDLLL

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.75

BTTS 2/4O2.5 3/4
Cesar VallejoDeportivo Binacional
52.4Attack33.3
19.0Defence0.0
33.3Form0.0
37.3Power15.3
1.62xG1.42
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