GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/3/2024, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Defensa Y Justicia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Cesar Vallejo are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Defensa Y Justicia are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Defensa Y Justicia hold a 27.8-point power-rating edge (37.3 v 65.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.2% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Defensa Y Justicia holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Defensa Y Justicia

Probability

58.2%

Model confidence

58.2%

Defensa Y Justicia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cesar VallejoDDLWD

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Defensa Y JusticiaLLWDD

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Cesar VallejoDefensa Y Justicia
52.4Attack58.3
19.0Defence61.1
33.3Form72.2
37.3Power65.1
1.15xG2.24
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