GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/26/2023, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Botafogo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Cesar Vallejo are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Botafogo are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Botafogo hold a 29.1-point power-rating edge (37.3 v 66.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.0% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Botafogo holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Botafogo

Probability

56.0%

Model confidence

56.0%

Botafogo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cesar VallejoLDLWD

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
BotafogoWLLWW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Cesar VallejoBotafogo
52.4Attack76.2
19.0Defence47.6
33.3Form76.2
37.3Power66.3
1.46xG2.49
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