GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/16/2024, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Always Ready · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Cesar Vallejo are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Always Ready are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Always Ready hold an 18.4-point power-rating edge (37.3 v 55.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.3% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Always Ready holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Always Ready

Probability

47.3%

Model confidence

47.3%

Always Ready has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cesar VallejoDLDWL

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Always ReadyWWWDL

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Cesar VallejoAlways Ready
52.4Attack54.2
19.0Defence54.2
33.3Form58.3
37.3Power55.6
1.38xG1.95
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