Primera División - AperturaPrimera División - Apertura
Sunday, 19 July 2026Last updated 10:01
Cerro

Cerro

Home
L
10
Full time
Racing Montevideo

Racing Montevideo

Away
GoalVio prediction
39% confidence
Racing Montevideo(39%)
Most likely exact score0-1
Win probability
Cerro
29%
Draw
32%
Racing Montevideo
39%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Cerro)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Cerro)
3.60
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
CerroCerro
L

Probability breakdown

39% confidence
Cerro29%
Draw32%
Racing Montevideo39%

Racing Montevideo leads with 39% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Cerro head into this in Primera División - Apertura fixture in mixed form (L), while Racing Montevideo arrive in unknown form.

Cerro have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Racing Montevideo have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between Cerro and Racing Montevideo in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Racing Montevideo to win with 39% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 0-1. Win probabilities: Cerro 2922%, Draw 3162%, Racing Montevideo 3916%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Cerro

Cerro

L
@ Boston River
16 May 2026
14

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Cerro vs Racing Montevideo?

GoalVio's model predicts Racing Montevideo to win with 39% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Cerro vs Racing Montevideo?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.

Will both teams score in Cerro vs Racing Montevideo?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Cerro vs Racing Montevideo?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more