GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Primera División · 2/20/2026, 9:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Liverpool Montevideo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Cerro are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Liverpool Montevideo are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Liverpool Montevideo hold a 14.3-point power-rating edge (37.9 v 52.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.2% in the Primera División, while Liverpool Montevideo holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Liverpool Montevideo

Probability

44.2%

Model confidence

44.2%

Liverpool Montevideo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CerroLLLLW

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Liverpool MontevideoLLWLL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
CerroLiverpool Montevideo
21.7Attack37.7
50.7Defence66.7
31.9Form46.4
37.9Power52.2
0.51xG1.06
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