CerrovsDeportivo Maldonado

Cerro are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Deportivo Maldonado are 3W-1D-0L in their last 4 (DWWW), averaging 1.50 scored and 0.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 9 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Maldonado hold a 24.0-point power-rating edge (37.9 v 61.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.9% in the Primera División, while Deportivo Maldonado holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.