GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Primera División · 5/24/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Central Espanol · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Cerro are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Central Espanol are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Central Espanol hold a 15.5-point power-rating edge (37.9 v 53.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.4% in the Primera División, while Central Espanol holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Central Espanol

Probability

45.4%

Model confidence

45.4%

Central Espanol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CerroLLLLD

GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Central EspanolWWLWL

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
CerroCentral Espanol
21.7Attack40.6
50.7Defence62.3
31.9Form52.2
37.9Power53.4
0.57xG1.15
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