Cerro Portenovs
Sportivo Ameliano
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Profesional - Clausura · 10/18/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cerro Porteno · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Cerro Porteno 0-0 Sportivo Ameliano, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Cerro Porteno 2-2 Sportivo Ameliano
Original prediction
Cerro Porteno
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.62 | 56.2% | 49.7% | -6.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.68 | 24.9% | 28.6% | 3.8 pts |
| Away | 4.83 | 18.9% | 21.6% | 2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.68 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.5 pts
Projected Score
Cerro Porteno 0–0 Sportivo Ameliano
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Cerro Porteno
Probability
49.7%
Model confidence
49.7%
Cerro Porteno has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00