Cerro Portenovs
Rubio NU
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Profesional - Clausura · 9/19/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cerro Porteno · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (15%), 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cerro Porteno 1-0 Rubio NU
Original prediction
Cerro Porteno
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.66 | 55.6% | 66.7% | 11.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.61 | 25.6% | 20.5% | -5.1 pts |
| Away | 4.94 | 18.7% | 12.8% | -5.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.66 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–015%
- 2.1–014%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Cerro Porteno
Probability
66.7%
Model confidence
66.7%
Cerro Porteno has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00