Cerro Portenovs
Palmeiras
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Libertadores · 4/30/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Cerro Porteno are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Palmeiras are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Cerro Porteno hold a 3.4-point power-rating edge (64.6 v 61.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.1% in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 0.80/0.20
GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20