Cerro Portenovs
Libertad Asuncion
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Profesional - Clausura · 8/30/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Libertad Asuncion · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (14%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cerro Porteno 1-1 Libertad Asuncion
Original prediction
Libertad Asuncion
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.06 | 44.8% | 30.2% | -14.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 28.9% | 27.6% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 3.51 | 26.3% | 42.2% | 15.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.19 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–114%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Libertad Asuncion
Probability
42.2%
Model confidence
42.2%
Libertad Asuncion has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80