GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Libertadores · 4/14/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cerro Porteno · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Cerro Porteno are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Junior are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Cerro Porteno hold a 31.6-point power-rating edge (64.6 v 33.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 19.3% in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, while Cerro Porteno holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cerro Porteno

Probability

58.0%

Model confidence

19.3%

Cerro Porteno has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cerro PortenoLWWDW

GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 0.80/0.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
JuniorWDLWW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Cerro PortenoJunior
33.3Attack27.8
85.7Defence38.9
66.7Form22.2
64.6Power33.0
1.42xG0.52
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