GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Libertadores · 2/27/2023, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cerro Porteno · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Cerro Porteno are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 1.50 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Curico Unido are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Cerro Porteno hold a 38.0-point power-rating edge (64.6 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.8% in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, while Cerro Porteno holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cerro Porteno

Probability

43.8%

Model confidence

43.8%

Cerro Porteno has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cerro PortenoWW

GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 1.50/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Curico UnidoLLLLW

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Cerro PortenoCurico Unido
33.3Attack0.0
85.7Defence66.7
66.7Form0.0
64.6Power26.7
1.12xG0.61
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