Cerro Portenovs
Curico Unido
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Libertadores · 2/27/2023, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cerro Porteno · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Cerro Porteno are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 1.50 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Curico Unido are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Cerro Porteno hold a 38.0-point power-rating edge (64.6 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.8% in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, while Cerro Porteno holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cerro Porteno
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
43.8%
Cerro Porteno has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 1.50/0.50
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00