Cerro Portenovs
Atletico Paranaense
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 7/19/2024, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico Paranaense · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Cerro Porteno are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Atletico Paranaense are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Paranaense hold a 31.4-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 67.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.0% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Atletico Paranaense holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atletico Paranaense
Probability
61.0%
Model confidence
61.0%
Atletico Paranaense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20