GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 7/19/2024, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atletico Paranaense · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Cerro Porteno are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Atletico Paranaense are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Paranaense hold a 31.4-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 67.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.0% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Atletico Paranaense holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atletico Paranaense

Probability

61.0%

Model confidence

61.0%

Atletico Paranaense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cerro PortenoWDLDD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Atletico ParanaenseWLWLW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Cerro PortenoAtletico Paranaense
33.3Attack72.2
50.0Defence66.7
16.7Form69.4
36.5Power67.9
0.81xG1.99
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