Cerro Portenovs
2 de Mayo
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Profesional - Clausura · 10/5/2026, 10:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cerro Porteno · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Cerro Porteno 0-0 2 de Mayo, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Cerro Porteno 0-2 2 de Mayo
Original prediction
Cerro Porteno
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 13:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.54 | 59.6% | 45.8% | -13.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.76 | 24.5% | 29.6% | 5.2 pts |
| Away | 5.78 | 15.9% | 24.6% | 8.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.9 pts
Projected Score
Cerro Porteno 0–0 2 de Mayo
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Cerro Porteno
Probability
45.8%
Model confidence
45.8%
Cerro Porteno has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40