Cerro Largovs
Wanderers
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 2/13/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Cerro Largo are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Wanderers are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Wanderers hold a 4.1-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 52.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.7% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.1%
Model confidence
18.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80