Cerro Largovs
Vitoria
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/15/2025, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Cerro Largo are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Vitoria are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Vitoria hold a 30.2-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 45.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.0% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
41.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00