Cerro LargovsUniversidad Catolica

Cerro Largo are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Universidad Catolica are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Universidad Catolica hold a 44.8-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 60.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.3% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Universidad Catolica holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.