Cerro LargovsRacing Montevideo

Cerro Largo are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Racing Montevideo are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Racing Montevideo hold a 12.3-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 60.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.0% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.