Cerro LargovsDefensa Y Justicia

Cerro Largo are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Defensa Y Justicia are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Defensa Y Justicia hold a 49.7-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 65.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.1% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Defensa Y Justicia holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.