Cerro Largovs
Danubio
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 3/30/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cerro Largo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Cerro Largo are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Danubio are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Cerro Largo hold a 6.5-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 41.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 21.9% in the Primera División, while Cerro Largo holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cerro Largo
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
21.9%
Cerro Largo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20