Cerro Largovs
Danubio
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 3/6/2025, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Cerro Largo are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Danubio are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Danubio hold a 31.2-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 46.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.4% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80