Cerro Largovs
Danubio
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 2/18/2023, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Cerro Largo are 3W-1D-0L in their last 4 (DWWW), averaging 1.25 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Danubio are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Cerro Largo hold a 6.5-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 41.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.5% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
41.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.25/0.50
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40