Cerro Largovs
Cerro
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 5/29/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cerro Largo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Cerro Largo are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Cerro are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Cerro Largo hold a 10.4-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 37.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.6% in the Primera División, while Cerro Largo holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cerro Largo
Probability
47.6%
Model confidence
47.6%
Cerro Largo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40