GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Primera División · 2/3/2023, 10:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Cerro Largo are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 1.50 scored and 0.50 conceded, while CA River Plate are 0W-2D-1L in their last 3 (LDD), averaging 0.67 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 48.3 against 47.7. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.9% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

42.9%

Model confidence

42.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cerro LargoWW

GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 1.50/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
CA River PlateLDD

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.67/1.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 1/3
Cerro LargoCA River Plate
34.8Attack33.3
63.8Defence60.6
42.0Form43.9
48.3Power47.7
0.88xG0.66
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