Cerro LargovsBoston River

Cerro Largo are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Boston River are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Cerro Largo hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 42.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.8% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.