CerritovsUruguay Montevideo

Cerrito are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Uruguay Montevideo are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Cerrito hold a 3.5-point power-rating edge (52.9 v 49.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.6% in the Segunda División, while Cerrito holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.