Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Cerrito 0-0 Rentistas, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Cerrito 2-2 Rentistas
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 October 2026 at 20:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.03 | 29.8% | 33.8% | 4.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.08 | 29.4% | 30.7% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.22 | 40.8% | 35.5% | -5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.08 · Draw 2.08 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.3 pts
Projected Score
Cerrito 0–0 Rentistas
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.7%
Model confidence
35.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CerritoLWDWL
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
RentistasWLLWL
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
CerritoRentistas
42.5Attack41.4
60.9Defence65.5
47.1Form51.7
52.1Power54.7
0.93xG0.89