Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Cerrito are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Atenas are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 52.9 against 53.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.7% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.7%
Model confidence
35.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60