GGOALVIO

Japan · WE League · 11/23/2023, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cerezo Osaka W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Cerezo Osaka W are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 0.50 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Parceiro Nagano W are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 4 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Cerezo Osaka W hold a 4.4-point power-rating edge (40.5 v 36.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.3% in the WE League, while Cerezo Osaka W holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cerezo Osaka W

Probability

39.3%

Model confidence

39.3%

Cerezo Osaka W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cerezo Osaka WLW

GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 0.50/0.50

BTTS 0/2O2.5 0/2
Parceiro Nagano WWL

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Cerezo Osaka WParceiro Nagano W
28.8Attack31.8
53.0Defence39.4
31.8Form27.3
40.5Power36.1
1.13xG0.81
View match centre →