Cerezo Osakavs
Yokohama F. Marinos
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 10/10/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yokohama F. Marinos · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (14%), 1-1 (13%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cerezo Osaka 0-0 Yokohama F. Marinos
Original prediction
Yokohama F. Marinos
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.24 | 41.8% | 26.4% | -15.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 26.5% | 25.8% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.95 | 31.7% | 47.8% | 16.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.54 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
16.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–114%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Yokohama F. Marinos
Probability
47.8%
Model confidence
47.8%
Yokohama F. Marinos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60