GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 3/22/2026, 6:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vissel Kobe · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Cerezo Osaka are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Vissel Kobe are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Vissel Kobe hold a 22.2-point power-rating edge (42.7 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.9% in the J1 League, while Vissel Kobe holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vissel Kobe

Probability

38.9%

Model confidence

38.9%

Vissel Kobe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cerezo OsakaLWDLL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Vissel KobeDWWWW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Cerezo OsakaVissel Kobe
33.3Attack50.0
33.3Defence66.7
50.0Form66.7
42.7Power64.8
1.23xG1.45
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